Monday 21 May 2012

Match Analysis of Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea (CL final 2012)

by Richard Jaffa

Match Analysis of the Champions League Final 2012 – Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea


Champions at last

    Chelsea , against the odds in what was essentially an away fixture in the Allianz Arena, beat  Bayern Munich on penalties, claiming their first ever European Cup after a quite staggering cup run and string of performances. This is why football is the most dramatic and unpredictable sport in the world. When Roberto Di Matteo took over from the sacked Andre Villas-Boas, they were written off to a season of mediocrity with many calling this the end of an era for Chelsea. However, Di Matteo somehow summoned the spirit of the Mourinho years, reinvigorating a so called ‘spent force’ to  go one better than ‘the special one’ and claim Roman Abramovich's holy grail. Di Matteo is the first Italian manager to win the European Cup with a foreign club. It all started with the spectacular turning of a tie against Napoli at Stamford Bridge, and ended in Munich with a penalty shootout victory over a German side, banishing the traumatic memories of Moscow four years ago. It was somewhat apt that Chelsea got their hands on the trophy in the same fashion as they once had it snatched away from them. Didier Drogba claimed after the game, “I believe in destiny and this was written a long time ago but we just didn’t know it.” Four surviving members of the 2008 losing finalists played and achieved redemption in the type of drama only football seems to provide . Few could have dreamed after the Abramovich millions poured in that they would reach their goal with perhaps their weakest team during his ownership, beating arguably the greatest side the game has ever witnessed, in Barcelona, en route to the final. This was poignantly Chelsea’s 100th Champions League tie under Abramovich’s ownership, which he assumed in 2003. 

Gary Neville, whilst commentating for Sky Sports, speculated on several occasions that Chelsea’s “name is on the trophy”, and that it was Didier Drogba’s “time for redemption” (alluding to the red card he received and Chelsea's subsequent loss in the final of the 2008 Champions League final, on penalties, to Man Utd). Indeed, it was hard to disagree with what Neville was professing. He suggested the same when Lionel Messi missed a penalty at the Nou Camp in the semi final second leg. When a man who scored 72 goals in a single season misses a penalty against an undoubtedly inferior side, that go on to win with 10 men, you could be forgiven for suspecting that fate has already determined its champions. Having seen Chelsea go so close in years gone by, suffering at times horrendous misfortune, it was hard not to believe what the newest member of Roy Hodgson's England coaching staff was predicting. Whether it be the crucial slip and penalty miss by John Terry in the Moscow final of 2008 under Avram Grant, the shocking refereeing decisions by Tom Henning Ovrebo versus Barcelona in 2009 under Hiddink, the cruel elimination of Ancelotti’s Premier League champions by a Samuel Eto’o goal in 2010 against Internazionale and Mourinho, Chelsea were due a dose of good fortune. Under Di Matteo, who inspired stunning comebacks versus Napoli and Barcelona, in the most unlikely of circumstances, lady luck was finally shining down on Chelsea Football Club. 

 Team Analysis


How the two teams lined up



    This was an extremely open tie, during which strange and uncharacteristic individual errors cost Bayern a comfortable victory. Mario Gomez in particular had a very poor game, failing to seize upon the space and opportunities afforded to him. Had he been as clinical as a 41-goal season man should be, Bayern would have surely won the game. Overall, Bayern controlled the game, with 55% possession. Toni Kroos and Bastian Schweinsteiger were supreme in midfield, conducting the tempo of the game and dictating the passages of play exquisitely. Both teams on paper lined up in 4-2-3-1 formations, however in reality at times Bayern played a 4-2-4 and Chelsea often reverted to a 4-4-1-1 formation, a reaction to being on the back-foot for large parts of the game. Chelsea rarely tested Manuel Neuer and it looked as if they had lost a war of attrition against Bayern after holding out until the 83rd minute. The amount of shots Bayern had is misleading though, as they only tested Cech on a few occasions; they were wasteful after finding great attacking positions. Ribery had a surprisingly quiet game and Robben was largely nullified. Chelsea were set up to counter attack, yet Bayern did not over-commit men forward, and as such were never truly stretched by Chelsea. Jupp Heynckes got it tactically spot-on it must be said, whilst Di Matteo did a fantastic job in rebuffing the Bayern set up, utilising the players at his disposal to good effect.

Five minutes after conceding to a Thomas Muller backpost header in the 83rd minute, Chelsea equalized from a corner. Interestingly this was Chelsea’s single corner of the tie, in comparison to Bayern’s twenty attempts. These statistics don’t bode well for Bayern, and speak volumes about Chelsea’s work on the training ground. It was a tie in which it was likely Chelsea were going to have to be proficient with set pieces, and the way Drogba found space for the equaliser from their only corner displayed the type of opportunism you would expect of a German side rather than an English team.


Di Matteo becomes the first Italian manager to win the Champions League with a foreign team


Key Battles



Didier Drogba vs. Bayern Munich Defence


It is fair to say Bayern Munich were well aware of the threat Didier Drogba possesses. With the German international centre-back Holger Badstuber suspended, Jerome Boateng was partnered by Anatoliy Tymoshchuk, who is naturally a holding midfielder. Diego Contento was the stand-in at left back for the suspended (and superb) Daniel Alaba. On occasion Drogba, attempting to unbalance the defence, positioned himself in a pocket of space between Contento and Boateng, or Lahm and Tymoshchuk, meaning Bastian Schweinsteiger was often pinned back deeper than would be ideal, to counteract Drogba should he control the ball. This was a clever ploy by a seasoned centre forward, and it led on one occasion to the overlapping Salomon Kalou at right wing finding space vacated by the Italian Contento, who had become preoccupied by marking Drogba. This was especially evident when Kalou was played into space and hit a rasping drive at Manuel Neuer; a chance which could easily have led to a goal. Bayern would have been victims of their own caution here, but perhaps it was a calculated risk; which in actuality paid off as Drogba struggled for any sort of freedom in open play, and Kalou was wasteful. Drogba had an exhausting 120 minutes, often finding himself outnumbered. 

Drogba rarely found time and space on the ball


Ashley Cole & Ryan Bertrand vs. Phillip Lahm & Arjen Robben


    Di Matteo put faith in Ryan Bertrand, who made his Champions League debut in the biggest game club football has to offer. It was a surprising inclusion, but as the game developed it became clear what Di Matteo’s thought process was behind the selection. Bertrand, a natural left-back, played in front of Ashley Cole. In reality though Bertrand was almost a wing back, assisting Cole in doubling up on Robben when possible, whilst also attempting to contain Lahm’s lung-busting runs. It was relatively successful for the 73 minutes Bertrand played for, with Robben’s fifteen shots predominantly coming from long-range. Robben’s best chance came when he switched to the left wing and burst into the box, seeing his stinging drive denied by a superb Cech save onto the post.  


Additionally, looking at the statistics, of the 15 crosses originating on the right hand side of midfield for Bayern, not a single one reached its intended target. Many of these misplaced passes can be put down to the restricted space afforded by Cole and Bertrand. This statistic can also be attributed to Chelsea’s aerial dominance if not Bayern's inaccurate passing. Chelsea won 65% of their aerial duels, as opposed to Bayern who won only 35%. This is an impressive statistic as the sides were relatively even in terms of physical stature. Despite arguably being at fault for Muller’s goal, Ashley Cole showed why he has been considered the best left back in world football for a number of years. It was a tactic borne out of fear of Robben and Lahm, but Bertrand cannot be displeased with how he and Cole dealt with two of the best players in the world in their respective positions. Lahm and Robben were the highest passers on the pitch for Bayern aside from Kroos, which shows the prominence of Bayern's attacking down the right side. In fact, 40% of attacking moves from Bayern culminated on the right flank.

Ryan Bertrand & Ashley Cole worked extremely hard to counter Lahm & Robben


Conversely, this over-emphasis on the Bayern right side led to dangerous space opening up between Chelsea’s left side and the centre of defence, to the detriment of David Luiz. Mario Gomez exploited this with his movement, but was uncharacteristically poor in terms of his end product and usually clinical finishing. The exposure of centre-backs Luiz and the impressive Gary Cahill required John Obi Mikel and Frank Lampard to sit deeper, and to be especially wary of forward runs by Schweinsteiger, Kroos and the dynamic Muller. This meant there was occasionally a spare man in attack for Bayern, allowing Muller unprecedented space in and around the Chelsea box, behind Lampard and Mikel. It is fortunate for Chelsea that the finishing instincts of Gomez eluded him on this night of all nights.   



Defensive organisation




Cech and his defence were superb
   

    Often Robben was manoeuvred into a crowd of players and many of his 15 shots were in fact optimistic and off-balance efforts. Incredibly, Chelsea blocked 21 of Bayern’s 43 shots in the 120 minutes. Much like against Barcelona, the Chelsea defenders were very rigid and didn't lose their shape. This meant they were often tightly positioned and successfully able to block just under half of Bayern’s efforts, an impressive statistic. Bayern deployed four up front for periods of the game, leading Mikel and Lampard to revert to disciplined holding midfielders in an attempt to avoid being overrun. It must be noted that Mikel’s contribution to Chelsea’s success and his unexpectedly impressive performances over the last three or four months have been phenomenal. 

Top Performers 


Muller looks to have scored a late winner


    Muller and Cech were the main contenders for man of the match, with Cech edging it. Muller found space between the Chelsea holding midfielders and often found himself goal side of Lampard. He sometimes plays as a right winger, and his instincts often led him to attack slightly to the right side. Mikel on one occasion followed him wide, which left acres of space free in the centre, and unsurprisingly Schweinsteiger exploited this with a barnstorming run into space and an effort on goal. Muller eventually found some fatally vacated space behind Ashley Cole, and perfectly powered his header into the ground and past Cech in a flash. It must be added it was a wonderful pass from Toni Kroos, who was the top passer on the pitch, with 111 passes. Chelsea’s most efficient passer was Lampard with 81, showing the disparity in terms of possession. In the 20 minutes preceding the goal, Muller had been wielding his influence with 5 efforts on goal, also drawing a yellow card from a desperate challenge by Mikel. He floated around ‘between the lines’ and was virtually impossible to mark, culminating in him ghosting in for the opener. He looked like he would be the catalyst for a Bayern opener, and so he was. However, once ahead, Jupp Heynckes made what appears to have been a costly decision, albeit with logical consideration. He took off Muller, and threw the sizeable Daniel Van Buyten on to defend the final 10 minutes of normal time. Di Matteo reacted, unleashing the much maligned Fernando Torres for Kalou, as Chelsea went all out for an equaliser which eventually came from a corner. After Drogba’s bullet header, reminiscent of a similar header he scored in the recent African Cup of Nations, it was extra time. 

Drogba celebrates his bullet header, taking the game to extra time


Extra Time


    Chelsea found a second-wind during extra time, at times spraying the ball around immaculately. But tactically they lost shape, and chances on goal didn’t materialise. Bayern shifted back to a 4-2-3-1 with Kroos moving forward into Muller's position and the position he is more comfortable in, with Tymoshchuk moving to his more familiar defensive-midfield position. Bayern had two glorious chances to go ahead. Firstly, Drogba, who was asked to defend from the right in alternation with Torres, clumsily clipped Franck Ribery in the box; a classic case of ‘tired legs, tired mind’. It was Drogba’s second needless penalty conceded in his last two Champions League ties. But, astonishingly, Cech saved. When watching the replay it seemed as though the ball was wedged between Cech and the turf as he saved it (pictured below), and yet somehow it didn’t squeeze into the net. Gary Neville was right, it was surely Chelsea's time. After Ivica Olic came on for the injured Ribery, he was found unmarked in the box, producing a shot-cross which unfortunately fell in front of the defensive minded Van Buyten. A striker with goalscoring instincts probably would have been on the end of Olic’s ball, but instead it was agonising viewing for Bayern fans. It would head to penalties. 

Cech saves Robben's extra time penalty


Penalties


     Cech was the hero, Schweinsteiger the unfortunate, but never the villain to the Bayern faithful. Robben, disappointingly, didn’t have the character to step up to avenge his earlier missed penalty. In contrast, Neuer deserves huge credit for the bravery he showed, taking and scoring a penalty. Olic’s demeanour suggested he wasn’t confident and he subsequently saw his penalty saved by Cech. Ashely Cole capitalised on Olic's woes, and evened up the shoot-out. For a product of the youth system at Bayern and a true fan favourite, what followed will eternally haunt Schweinsteiger and invoke many a nightmare. He was superb in 120 minutes of play, overseeing Bayern's play and controlling the midfield, defending astutely and bursting forward to assist Mario Gomez at times. He displayed why he is arguably the best box-to-box midfielder in the modern game. Lampard vs. Schweinsteiger has been and was again a key battle, and whilst Schweinsteiger undoubtedly had the better game, Lampard’s grit and never-say-die mentality ended up flourishing in the final. It was a complete reversal of the emotions of the Bloemfontaine World Cup 2010 match for Lampard and Schweinsteiger, when Germany put England to the sword in a 4-1 walloping. Unfortunately this time for 'Schweini', he missed the crucial penalty in the shoot-out. Lampard had previously displayed bravery and took his penalty with composure, hammering his penalty straight down the middle, despite Neuer’s attempts to put him off. 


And so it was, Drogba would step up for the match winning penalty. He seemed ice cool, and summoning all the experience he has gained over the years; cemented his reputation as one of the great strikers of his generation by placing it past the imposing figure of Neuer. 9 goals in 9 major cup finals is an incredible statistic, the textbook definition of what to expect from a big-game player. Watching on, it felt inevitable that Drogba, so often at the centre of the drama on a football pitch, would win the shoot-out. He did, and unprecedented elation followed amongst the Chelsea players and fans alike. It would be an apt way for Drogba to bow out of his Chelsea career, but this famous night was also evidence of what a great loss he would be, and how irreplaceable his qualities are.


Distraught Bayern Munich players, after the penalty shoot-out loss



Man of the Match


    Petr Cech was man of the match. He made a crucial save in the first half, tipping onto the post from a Robben drive. He was effective with his distribution, and commanding in his box. His penalty save from Robben's effort in extra time was of unquantifiable importance, and potentially convinced some Chelsea players that this was their trophy. Of the 6 penalties he faced, he dived the right way for all them, saving 3. He had clearly done his pre-match preparation analysing the different penalty takers and their probable target zones. This was a colossal performance from Cech, who having received a bit of criticism in the last few seasons is definitely back to his best. Thomas Muller was also a contender and will be devastated his goal did not decide matters, and that painfully he was denied the opportunity to influence extra time and penalties.  
Juan Mata contributed a phenomenal amount in terms of ground covered, running 16,123 metres, the highest of any player. He was often chasing shadows though and had the task of pressurising Kroos and Schweinsteiger, an unenviable task and probable reason he covered so much ground.  


Cech: Man of the Match


Summary


    Statistically, Bayern were undoubtedly the superior side, dominating possession with 55% to Chelsea's 45%, and having 35 shots to Chelsea's 9. They won more tackles, with 28 tackles compared to Chelsea's 24. It is highly probable that with Mario Gomez displaying his usual prowess it would been a fairytale victory in their home stadium for the Bayern Munich players and fans. But Chelsea were dogged, and defended with true heart. As the curtain came down on an astounding night in Munich, it was at last Chelsea’s time to be crowned Champions of Europe. 



An emotional Drogba on his way to embrace Cech after scoring the winning penalty


Match Stats (BBC)

Shot zonesPlayer passes




Friday 11 May 2012

Soccer Shorts' England 23 Man Squad for Euro 2012


Soccer Shorts' England 23 Man Squad for Euro 2012:

written by Richard Jaffa & Jaymin Kassam (follow us on Twitter @Soccer_Shorts)

First XI:


GK: Joe Hart: He is quite simply the first name on the team sheet, potentially the only unanimous choice in the country alongside Wayne Rooney. Superb all season, and has the ability to make match winning-saves. One of Europe’s best. At 25, he has a seemingly long international career ahead of him, with this his first tournament where he will be number 1.

RB: Kyle Walker: voted young player of the year, reflecting a superb breakthrough season for the 21 year old. He will surely be first choice right back and his purported defensive frailties are covered by his lighting pace. He can potentially be a new, right-sided Ashley Cole and therefore must be given a chance to shine in tournament football.


CB: Rio Ferdinand: Has invaluable experience in European and World Cup tournaments, and will be a vital old head to share his wisdom with the younger players. His form has been great in the last third of the season, enough to warrant his inclusion whether he starts or not. It seems John Terry will not be selected due to the imminent court case, with that very issue being the crux of Capello’s decision to resign after the FA stripped him of captaincy. It would seem contradictory to believe the FA would have hired Hodgson without the agreement that Terry would be left out. This is a shame for Terry and England as he has been in supreme form (bar the recent Andy Carroll run-around). But for squad unity it also seems best he stays at home. Ferdinand is another leader on the pitch and also a man for the big occasion. Ageing players at centre back is not uncommon at this level and at 33 he will provide the vocal leadership for the back four.

CB: Joleon Lescott: He edges Gary Cahill for a starting berth for us, as he has played near enough all season in a potentially title winning side, whereas Cahill spent the first half of the season at a poor Bolton side (where he didn’t show the greatest form), and he’s been injured recently, as well as shuffled in and out of the Chelsea side since his arrival. Lescott looked great with Jagielka against Spain, and has proven he can hack it at the top level. At 29, he is reaching his peak.

LB: Ashley Cole: Still one of the top left backs if not the best left back in football, Mr goal-line clearance himself must start. At 31 and full of experience much like Ferdinand, he must play, and his on-pitch qualities and advice can be very important to an England team likely to depend on defensive solidity. Another faultless big game player and each game in Poland/Ukraine will be just that.

RM: Aaron Lennon: Perhaps the most explosive winger in the Premiership (alongside Walcott) who combines pace with devastatingly incisive runs and invariably finds a way past the fullback at some stage of a match. He always seems to create a chance for the striker, and defenders hate playing against his pace. However, they are terrified of the combination of intelligence in addition to pace, and Lennon certainly has that. It is no coincidence that when out of the Spurs team through injury, they lost their balance and results faltered. He’s played in a World Cup (2006) and wouldn’t be fazed by tournament football. He has had a few injuries so will be relatively fresh. He will provide an effective outlet for the less mobile centre midfielders, and can play from the left or right. At 25 (surprisingly young), he still has a future with the national side.

CM: Michael Carrick: he plays, for us, because Paul Scholes will likely not come out of retirement, and he is the most natural alternative. Suited to international football, he is an able and accurate passer and vitally maintains possession of the ball. He is in a rich vein of form and this seems to have gone unnoticed by the media at large when discussing the England team. We find the fact he has been overlooked absolutely staggering. A winner of titles, and now at 30, he must start. He could still be up for discussion when Brazil 2014 arrives.



AM: Steven Gerrard ©: A man who thrives as a leader of men. Therefore, place him in the hole behind the one striker and let him have space to roam into with less emphasis on defending, and you have a real match winner on your hands. With Carrick behind him to find the passes to Gerrard, he could provide link-up play with the striker and (if they get the chance to play together) he and Rooney seem to share the same wavelength. Lampard has been in better form than Gerrard, but England do not play a formation to suit Lampard (a diamond midfield) and have never really found a way to accommodate him. Gerrard still has the ability to drive forward with acceleration, linking to the front man, something Lampard seems to lack, despite his superb passing and shooting abilities. Parker, Carrick and Lampard would be an extremely slow midfield trio. Therefore Gerrard must be in the first team, and is an obvious choice for the captaincy. He is one of the finest midfielders of his generation, and it seems appropriate for him to captain his country on what, at 31, is likely his international farewell tournament.

CDM: Scott Parker: A tough call between him and Gareth Barry, but the sheer fact Barry is not as tenacious as Parker in the tackle means we must exclude him.  With Carrick more of an interceptor than a tackler, its vital England’s midfield has some steel, and the Spurs man provides this. (In the games in which England may be on the back-foot more often than not, e.g. vs. France, a midfield trio of Parker, Carrick/Gerrard and Barry may be preferable). At 31, he too may see his one and only tournament, but his form is too good to ignore.

LM: Ashley Young: A man who was once compared to Cristiano Ronaldo by some sections of the media during his Villa days must play from the left for England. He possesses goal scoring quality and that’s invaluable for wingers. He can move onto either foot and bamboozle defenders and whilst Lennon’s final ball may be questioned, Young’s is not. He will provide a bit of the unpredictable against defences and could be the key to unlock them.

STR: Andy Carroll (Until Rooney available): This is the toughest position to decide upon with Rooney suspended, as it just isn’t a clear cut decision. It seems like the pony-tailed Geordie is coming back into some form and confidence at the perfect time and against Chelsea (twice) illustrated why £35 million was a once deemed somewhere near an acceptable fee for him by some of the upper echelons at Liverpool. Yes he’s had a poor season, but if he displays current form in the friendly matches before the provisional squad must be cut to 23, he must play. He is unplayable on his day, and will provide essential hold-up play for Gerrard (who knows his game well by now) and any midfielders breaking to join him. His aerial abilities will give defenders real trouble and with the right service he could prove the best choice. He is still young, and this tournament experience will benefit him looking forward. Whereas Grant Holt has scored 14 league goals (in his first season in the Premiership), he is 31 years old. If he had been tested in the past year in competitive England games, and fared well, then he’d be on the plane. However it seems the tournament has come at the wrong time for him and including him would really contradict the idea of building for the future. Unlike the other +30’s we have selected, his form hasn’t been so good as to make him indispensable to the team. Carroll is just 23, and we are convinced he has a future with the national team, offering power many strikers cannot.


The Reserves:

Ben Foster: Been solid for WBA this season, Hodgson will have seen first hand his consistent performances and top reflexes. He’s relatively young for a goalkeeper at 29 and a reliable backup. This is assuming Hodgson could tempt him out of international retirement; if not, Robert Green gets the call.



Fraser Forster: A man-mountain at 6ft 7 who has commanded the Celtic area this season and last in the SPL. Over 40 clean sheets in 2 seasons on loan from Newcastle are not to be sneered at. He is only 24 and thus a future prospect and the tournament experience can only benefit him. If called upon, the mere size of him means he would be imposing and he doesn’t look like a character to shy away from a challenge. We are surprised he has not been discussed in the broader media. The experience could lead to him becoming Hart's established backup. 



Micah Richards: A bowling-ball of a man, he’s had a decent season, peaking around Christmas time. He’s been kept out recently by Zabaleta (who has been on supreme form) but has still played 24 premier league games. His ability to play centre back too makes him an appealing option. From the bench he could provide impetus and his power against tiring legs could be decisive. Glen Johnson just misses out as we believe he is more defensively unreliable than Richards, though both are a tad clumsy. Richards shades it for us.

Gary Cahill: Looks a top prospect to succeed John Terry at Chelsea and for England. He is athletic, powerful, and has the ability to bring the ball out from the back, linking with the midfield and keeping possession. He also seems confident enough to be relied upon in big games, as seen for Chelsea vs. Barcelona. Cahill is a great backup centre back, and should Rio Ferdinand succumb to injury, it would not unsettle him to be a starter. At 26, he could be a first-team member come Brazil 2014.

Phil Jones: The experience will be great for Jones, still 19, who is certainly going to be an England international for years to come, with early season comparisons to the great Duncan Edwards as well as calls for him to be future England captain. Much like Rio Ferdinand going to World Cup 98 at just 19, Jones should emulate him at the Euros. If called upon, he’s versatile enough to play centre back, full back or holding midfield (as he did vs. Spain). He is a physical presence to be reckoned with, which opposition players will not enjoy.

Leighton Baines: Had another superb season for Everton, and seems a very reliable option. He has taken over from Wayne Bridge as the fallback if Ashley Cole was to get injured. Superb set pieces are an added bonus if he was to play. He is 27 and could very well succeed Ashley Cole in coming tournaments, although perhaps Kieran Gibbs or Ryan Bertrand will rise to prominence. Based on merit though, Baines deserves his place.

Frank Lampard: tough to leave out of the 1st XI given his current top form, but as mentioned he doesn’t quite fit the system suggested and is the type of player only really comfortable playing in one formation. He is not best utilised at defensive midfield. However, he would prove a great option from the bench if England were in need of a goal. Again, he is great for the dressing room, and widely respected. He isn't on the plane based on reputation; he's genuinely had a brilliant second half of the season.

Gareth Barry: Has been in exemplary form for Man City this year. Memories of him tasting the mud from Podolski’s boots, as he trudged across the turf in hopeless pursuit during the quarter final defeat to Germany will haunt England fans to this day. But against the odds he has emerged a superior player. His passing ability and added balance to the team is a valuable asset. Just edges Milner for us.


Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain: Shades Theo Walcott in our squad, even many Arsenal fans see him as ‘Walcott with a brain’. It’s always good to take an unknown quantity to a tournament (ironic that he should take Walcott’s place). Chamberlain is versatile, technical and explosive, with a clever football brain to go with it. From the bench this would give defenders something extra and mysterious to think about. He can play on either wing and is capable in a central role. Lots of people suggesting he hasn't played enough games to justify an inclusion. This may be true, but what he has shown is the quality that makes him a worthy addition and we believe he shows more promise than Walcott. Just 18 years old, this wonderkid can only improve and this learning curb will do just that for his game. 

Wayne Rooney: Along with Joe Hart, without suspension he’s a unanimous choice to start. He’s due a good tournament since bursting onto the scene at Euro 2004 at the age of 18. He scored 4 goals there, yet strangely hasn’t scored in two World Cups since then. He will come in fresh for the 3rd game, which hopefully will mean he’ll be fired up and give the team a boost. This could be a tournament remembered for his impact. At 26 years old, he’s 1 goal shy of his best ever career total of 34 goals, and in sublime form.
Danny Welbeck: Seemingly a pencilled in choice after a decent season for Man Utd alongside Rooney. Partnerships are important in football, and he and Rooney have drawn comparisons with Dwight Yorke and Andy Cole. If given the chance he could prove effective on the international scene, from now and for the next decade, being just 21. His languid style and good link-up play mean he could also play up on his own if Carroll cannot. He has played all season in a team that demands the very best, standing him in good stead for the pressures of playing for your country.


Daniel Sturridge: He has had a mixed year, has definitely got a bit of je ne sais quoi about him, but a seemingly selfish attitude on the field will not be welcome in a team which needs teamwork and cooperation to succeed. Robbie Di Matteo seems to have latched onto this, and he has dropped him from the first team (with great success). He is potentially a little immature to make the plane, but it is a very tough call. We would take him as he can play from the right and also insists he is best on his own up front. Being left footed he could play from the left too should Ashley Young succumb to injury. His unique ability to create something from nothing leads us to believe he must travel with the squad. At 23, he most definitely has the opportunity to succeed at this level, with the right attitude. A risk worth taking. 

Just missing out:


John Ruddy: has dropped a few clangers this season despite some very good performances. Admitted in a recent BBC football focus interview that he doesn’t think he is an England international – suggesting he may not have the composure/strength of character if called upon in a tense tournament match situation.

Scott Carson: quietly gone about his business in Turkey for Bursaspor. But after such a poor performance against Croatia in 2008 and the subsequent media hammering, we believe he would have serious confidence issues if called upon.

Robert Green: has been impressive for West Ham and narrowly misses the squad, hard to believe the howler against the USA in South Africa would not play on his mind if called upon. Similar situation to Carson.

Paul Robinson: Solid goalkeeper who has performed astutely since announcing international retirement. If he was to announce his availability, he would be a contender for the third goalkeeper spot. Although there are still question marks over his mobility, his distribution is second to none.

Glen Johnson: Still questions over him defensively in terms of tactical awareness, and he seems very clumsy and not quite as mobile as Micah Richards. We could see him making a costly error, and as such he does not make the squad. Despite this decision, there isn’t much between him and Richards.

Chris Smalling: He has not seemed to play quite as well in the last third of the season as the early season suggested he could, definitely one for the future but Phil Jones just shades it. (note - announced he’s ruled out of Euro 2012 due to injury)

John Terry: There is little doubt he is England’s best centre-back on current form. Yet for reasons stated above about his impending court case and possible detrimental effect on team unity, he simply cannot be considered.

Phil Jagielka: was immense against Spain and has 10 international caps, and will feel hard done by to miss out, but Cahill and Lescott just edge it for us in terms of quality. If Cahill doesn’t make it back from his hamstring injury, Jagielka is drafted in.

Kieran Gibbs: Only had 2 games for England, the Euros seem to have come a year too soon. He has actually only played 15 league games for Arsenal this season due to various injuries. He will likely be in future England squads.

David Beckham: Still offers invaluable experience and unparalleled passing ability, but the slower pace in the MLS means he’s simply no longer adaptable to the demands of international football, at 37. It is likely he is going to captain Team GB in the Olympics.

Steward Downing: 0 assists, 0 goals in the Premiership for Liverpool. Hodgson is a stats man and this leaves Downing with little hope. The stats don’t even shroud a good season for Downing, he has genuinely disappointed since his move from Villa. With a turnaround in fortunes he could be in the squad for Brazil 2014.

Theo Walcott: In spite of what was just conveyed, Walcott has had his best season statistically with 8 goals and 8 assists. However, this papers over the cracks in his game. All too often he is head-down with blinkers on and often loses possession with painful ease, which at international level will most certainly cost England. They must keep the ball when they turn it over, and Lennon is better at this, and has formed a good understanding with our right back Kyle Walker, at Spurs. At 23, Walcott must keep improving, and we believe he is more effective as a striker than a winger. If he finds his way, his international career will continue.

Adam Johnson: Fresh and underused at Man City. A direct winger with trickery, pace and a great left foot, but his rustiness means he doesn’t make the cut. Had he played for a club regularly this season, we expect to have had him in our 23. Most definitely another player with a future at international level.

Joe Cole: The flamboyant midfielder has bounced back from his disastrous Liverpool stint in France for Lille, but has not been outstanding, and has lost his place in the team of late. There are seemingly better options than him, and he is not the player he once was, sadly. It’s a shame, especially as he was so consistently impressive in an England shirt and genuinely seemed to take pride in playing for his country.

Jack Rodwell: If he was fit, he still wouldn’t make the squad, he hasn’t yet lived up to the promise he has been touted with. Worries are that he might be another Jermaine Jenas, who never quite fulfils his promise. Conversely, at a mere 20 years of age, he could prosper as part of a new generation of English centre midfielders if he develops accordingly.

Paul Scholes: if available he would be on the plane and in the first team without question. He is ideal for international football. It is no surprise he is Xavi’s favourite player, they are of a similar ilk. Zidane said he’s the best player he played against, which speaks volumes. He hasn’t lost any of that ability, though possibly a bit of pace (but his game doesn’t require speed) and as the games wear on he may find himself struggling with the tempo. However, if he came out of retirement, I fully expect Hodgson would pick him.

James Milner: Seems to have a bottomless pit of a fuel tank, and is extremely versatile (even played right back in world cup 2010). He’s guaranteed to put the effort in to allow those around him to flourish. He looks to be a level-headed guy, is still young and potentially deserving of a place. He will be in contention for future tournaments. But Gareth Barry has been the better player this year, so Milner just misses out.

Grant Holt: Flavour of the month. It must be remembered, this is his first season in the Premier League, and at 31, this shows us that he simply isn’t international quality. Much like how Zamora and Bothroyd were perceived; battering rams to unsettle defenders, this is not enough at the very top level. His all round build-up play and first touch will be exposed at international level. For this reason I believe Holt cannot be on the plane. He has no future with the team sadly, whereas Andy Carroll, a similar, younger and potentially superior player, does.

Peter Crouch: Again at 31, coming to the end of his career with England. Yes he has a great record for England, but very few goals are against top teams or in important games. The top defenders know how to deal with Crouch, and for one so tall he is in fact very weak in the air. Andy Carroll takes his spot. On the bench we prefer more dynamic options such as Welbeck and Sturridge.

Jermain Defoe: With England probably preferring one up top, Defoe has shown when playing for Spurs in this system his ineffectiveness in this role. He ‘is always good for a goal’, but again, at international level you need to have more in terms of link up play and hold up play. He doesn’t offer enough of these qualities or enough tactical versatility to make the squad.

Danny Graham: Suits the Swansea formation well and leads the line relatively well too. Scored 10 premier league goals, but like Holt, he doesn’t have that extra skill to go with his presence that’s needed at international level.

Darren Bent: Very unlikely he will be fit, but if so, he wouldn’t take Sturridge’s place. Of course he scores goals, but his all-round play is poor (a major reason he did not succeed at Spurs) and this leads us to the conclusion that he would not make the 23 man squad.

Jack Wilshere: If fit, he would be starting and we would be building a team around him, a genuine superstar in the making. We just have to hope he recovers for next season; an Owen Hargreaves repeat would not be welcome.


Bobby Zamora: Unfortunately the move from Fulham to QPR hasn't quite worked out yet, with a real drought in terms of goals and good performances. Despite this, he is a Roy Hodgson favorite from their Fulham days together, and its not unthinkable that he will make the 23 man squad.

Wild Cards: Tom Ince, Nathan Redmond, Scott Sinclair, Ryan Shawcross, Tom Cleverley, Ricky Lambert, Michael Owen, Gabby Agbonlahor, Jordan Henderson, Danny Murphy. These are unlikely call-ups, but you never know what Hodgson is thinking (he is a big fan of Danny Murphy). We expect he will go with the more tried and tested players.


Our Starting XI:

 4-4-1-1
                           Hart
Walker    Ferdinand   Lescott   Cole
Lennon     Carrick      Parker    Young
                        Gerrard
                     Carroll (Rooney*)

For defensive games (e.g. versus France):

4-5-1
                              Hart
Walker     Ferdinand    Lescott     Cole
Lennon   Gerrard   Parker   Barry   Young
                       Carroll (Rooney*)

For offensive games during which we may expect to dominate possession (e.g. versus Ukraine/Sweden):

 4-4-2
                               Hart
Walker     Ferdinand       Lescott      Cole
Lennon   Carrick          Gerrard          Young
             Carroll (Rooney*) Welbeck

Reserve XI:
4-3-3
                     Foster
Richards         Jones       Cahill    Baines
    Chamberlain Lampard Barry  
Sturridge      Carroll     Welbeck